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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.24-0.18vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+0.66vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+0.18vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.39-0.91vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.26-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Tufts University1.660.3%1st Place
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1.82University of Rhode Island2.240.5%1st Place
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3.66Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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4.09University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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4.81Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 25.5% | 33.2% | 21.7% | 13.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Declan Botwinick | 49.2% | 28.1% | 16.0% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 10.0% | 13.3% | 21.9% | 21.4% | 22.3% | 11.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.6% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 21.8% | 26.7% | 21.3% |
| James Sullivan | 6.5% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 22.6% | 23.0% | 21.3% |
| Penelope Weekes | 3.2% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.