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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.04+4.90vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.47+1.06vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.67-0.15vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.16+1.73vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.73+1.41vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00-2.04vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.49-2.20vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-2.81vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.14-1.50vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.40+0.11vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-2.02-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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3.06Roger Williams University3.470.3%1st Place
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2.85Tufts University3.670.3%1st Place
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5.73Boston College2.160.1%1st Place
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6.41Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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3.96Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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4.8Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.1%1st Place
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7.5Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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10.11Bentley University-1.400.0%1st Place
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10.5Northeastern University-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Cuccio | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 10.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 25.2% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 25.6% | 24.2% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Gestal | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Victor Ansart | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 19.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 14.4% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Lamont | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mende | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 36.4% | 8.0% | 1.4% |
| Cassie Morello | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 54.3% | 35.1% |
| Angela Lukstein | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 30.6% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.