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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.24+0.87vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.66+0.41vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+0.66vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+0.18vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.39-0.92vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.26-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87University of Rhode Island2.240.5%1st Place
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2.41Tufts University1.660.3%1st Place
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3.66Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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4.08University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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4.8Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 46.3% | 30.8% | 15.5% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Wallace | 28.6% | 30.8% | 20.7% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 9.5% | 13.4% | 23.0% | 21.1% | 21.7% | 11.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.7% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 22.4% | 26.0% | 21.5% |
| James Sullivan | 6.3% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 23.4% | 22.7% | 20.9% |
| Penelope Weekes | 3.6% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 22.6% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.