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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.35vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.62+2.34vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+1.45vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.54+0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.07+0.50vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.12-0.65vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.31-2.04vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.76-1.86vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.38-4.20vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.92-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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4.34Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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4.45Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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4.44Boston College2.540.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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5.35Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.96Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.14Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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4.8Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.67Northwestern University-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 1.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 14.5% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 0.4% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 13.2% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 1.9% |
| Will Priebe | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Styron | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 22.9% | 2.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 0.8% |
| Avery Zieper | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 88.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.