Race 2A

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Mowry 16.5% 12.8% 13.6% 11.8% 12.1% 10.7% 8.8% 8.1% 5.3% 0.3%
Ben Rosenberg 8.6% 7.9% 9.7% 11.6% 9.3% 10.8% 11.5% 14.8% 13.9% 1.9%
Thomas Styron 10.2% 11.0% 10.4% 9.6% 13.1% 12.3% 12.0% 11.4% 9.0% 1.0%
John (Jack) Plavan 13.9% 13.1% 12.5% 14.5% 11.6% 10.2% 10.9% 7.1% 5.8% 0.4%
Brooke Schmelz 10.0% 9.4% 9.6% 9.5% 10.6% 11.8% 12.2% 13.1% 12.2% 1.6%
Patrick Mulcahy 7.4% 7.5% 6.0% 7.0% 8.9% 11.1% 11.2% 13.8% 23.5% 3.6%
Trevor Davis 12.9% 15.8% 13.8% 13.8% 12.0% 10.9% 8.9% 7.6% 4.1% 0.2%
Will Priebe 8.8% 9.9% 11.1% 9.6% 11.5% 10.9% 11.4% 11.1% 13.6% 2.1%
Avery Zieper 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 1.4% 1.3% 2.0% 4.3% 88.3%
Mathieu Dale 11.4% 11.9% 12.7% 12.1% 10.3% 9.9% 11.8% 11.0% 8.3% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.