Race 3A

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Mowry 15.8% 14.4% 12.3% 13.4% 11.1% 9.3% 10.5% 7.3% 5.4% 0.5%
Thomas Styron 10.6% 9.8% 12.6% 11.4% 10.9% 11.4% 12.4% 9.6% 10.3% 1.0%
Brooke Schmelz 9.0% 8.5% 10.0% 7.8% 10.8% 13.3% 12.3% 13.1% 13.1% 2.1%
Mathieu Dale 11.3% 10.6% 14.6% 11.6% 12.4% 11.1% 10.1% 9.7% 7.8% 0.8%
John (Jack) Plavan 13.5% 13.3% 12.9% 14.6% 11.9% 9.8% 9.7% 8.1% 5.5% 0.7%
Ben Rosenberg 10.5% 8.8% 8.0% 9.0% 10.4% 12.7% 10.2% 14.9% 14.3% 1.2%
Trevor Davis 13.3% 16.7% 11.9% 14.1% 11.9% 10.8% 10.3% 6.4% 3.8% 0.8%
Will Priebe 8.8% 10.8% 10.6% 9.8% 10.7% 11.0% 10.9% 13.0% 13.1% 1.3%
Patrick Mulcahy 6.8% 6.6% 6.7% 8.0% 9.4% 9.1% 12.0% 15.9% 21.7% 3.8%
Avery Zieper 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 1.5% 1.6% 2.0% 5.0% 87.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.