Race 4A

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ben Rosenberg 8.8% 9.4% 10.8% 9.3% 9.5% 10.7% 10.2% 15.8% 13.8% 1.7%
Brooke Schmelz 9.2% 8.6% 10.5% 10.0% 10.8% 11.2% 12.1% 13.6% 12.1% 1.9%
Thomas Styron 11.5% 10.4% 9.4% 9.9% 12.2% 13.1% 11.5% 10.4% 10.3% 1.3%
Trevor Davis 15.0% 14.0% 15.3% 12.2% 11.7% 10.5% 8.7% 7.5% 4.5% 0.6%
Tyler Mowry 13.7% 14.9% 13.5% 11.7% 12.7% 10.8% 9.3% 7.5% 5.5% 0.4%
Mathieu Dale 14.0% 10.7% 9.8% 13.5% 12.5% 10.3% 10.2% 10.6% 7.7% 0.7%
John (Jack) Plavan 12.1% 15.3% 12.0% 13.3% 11.8% 10.9% 12.5% 6.3% 5.1% 0.7%
Patrick Mulcahy 5.9% 7.5% 8.7% 8.6% 6.6% 10.2% 12.1% 14.3% 23.2% 2.9%
Will Priebe 9.4% 8.8% 9.5% 11.2% 11.1% 11.4% 12.4% 11.7% 13.0% 1.5%
Avery Zieper 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 1.1% 0.9% 1.0% 2.3% 4.8% 88.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.