Race 5A

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Styron 11.0% 12.2% 12.3% 10.6% 10.8% 10.2% 11.3% 10.6% 9.8% 1.2%
Ben Rosenberg 9.3% 6.4% 11.2% 9.3% 10.8% 10.9% 11.7% 13.4% 15.4% 1.6%
John (Jack) Plavan 14.0% 13.4% 10.1% 12.8% 13.5% 11.9% 9.6% 7.2% 7.2% 0.3%
Mathieu Dale 11.1% 11.9% 12.7% 12.3% 10.9% 12.7% 9.9% 9.9% 7.6% 1.0%
Patrick Mulcahy 6.9% 7.2% 7.4% 7.1% 8.0% 10.1% 10.9% 15.9% 23.8% 2.7%
Trevor Davis 16.3% 13.2% 13.3% 13.9% 12.4% 10.0% 9.2% 7.4% 4.0% 0.3%
Brooke Schmelz 7.5% 9.3% 11.0% 10.1% 12.4% 10.9% 12.8% 13.1% 10.9% 2.0%
Will Priebe 8.5% 11.3% 9.9% 10.3% 9.0% 11.0% 12.8% 13.1% 12.8% 1.3%
Tyler Mowry 15.1% 14.8% 11.4% 13.0% 11.7% 11.1% 9.9% 7.8% 4.5% 0.7%
Avery Zieper 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 1.9% 1.6% 4.0% 88.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.