Race 6A

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Mowry 16.3% 14.2% 12.7% 12.1% 10.4% 10.9% 9.5% 7.8% 5.6% 0.5%
Thomas Styron 11.1% 9.9% 11.5% 11.1% 12.2% 11.7% 10.7% 10.5% 10.3% 1.0%
Ben Rosenberg 8.2% 9.2% 9.7% 6.6% 11.0% 13.3% 11.9% 12.5% 15.9% 1.7%
Patrick Mulcahy 5.6% 5.0% 8.6% 8.4% 9.5% 9.0% 13.6% 14.9% 21.5% 3.9%
Trevor Davis 14.2% 16.2% 13.1% 13.1% 12.7% 9.7% 8.4% 7.5% 4.8% 0.3%
Mathieu Dale 13.3% 11.2% 10.6% 13.4% 11.1% 11.1% 9.3% 11.7% 7.6% 0.7%
John (Jack) Plavan 12.5% 14.7% 12.9% 13.0% 11.7% 10.6% 12.5% 7.0% 4.7% 0.4%
Will Priebe 8.6% 10.8% 9.7% 11.3% 9.3% 11.9% 11.9% 12.4% 12.8% 1.3%
Brooke Schmelz 9.7% 8.6% 10.5% 10.9% 11.1% 10.9% 10.6% 13.7% 12.4% 1.6%
Avery Zieper 0.5% 0.2% 0.7% 0.1% 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 2.0% 4.4% 88.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.