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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+4.46vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+2.43vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.54+1.59vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.38+0.78vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+0.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.62-1.77vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.12-1.60vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.31-3.07vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.76-2.83vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.92-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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4.43Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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4.59Boston College2.540.1%1st Place
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4.78Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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4.23Tufts University2.620.2%1st Place
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5.4Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.93Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.17Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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9.65Northwestern University-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rosenberg | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 0.4% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 1.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 1.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 16.6% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Will Priebe | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Styron | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 22.7% | 3.8% |
| Avery Zieper | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 87.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.