Race 10B

central-series-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ben Weigel 26.8% 22.6% 19.2% 16.0% 8.4% 4.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Lamont 8.6% 10.2% 10.3% 13.4% 15.8% 15.2% 11.4% 9.8% 4.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Alexander Gestal 5.7% 5.9% 9.2% 10.0% 11.3% 14.1% 17.0% 16.3% 9.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Victor Ansart 2.7% 4.2% 6.4% 6.5% 7.9% 11.6% 16.9% 21.5% 18.5% 3.5% 0.3%
Benjamin Mende 2.7% 2.7% 3.8% 3.5% 6.0% 9.7% 10.7% 15.8% 37.2% 7.2% 0.7%
Laura Cuccio 4.2% 7.1% 8.2% 8.9% 12.7% 13.4% 15.6% 16.5% 11.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Cameron Fraser 16.7% 15.9% 15.6% 16.0% 13.8% 10.3% 6.7% 3.1% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Needham 25.6% 23.0% 17.3% 12.3% 11.1% 6.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Tevis Nichols 6.5% 8.1% 9.7% 12.8% 12.2% 14.3% 15.3% 11.6% 8.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Cassie Morello 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 3.1% 4.5% 54.0% 35.3%
Angela Lukstein 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.9% 2.8% 31.4% 63.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.