Race 10A

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mathieu Dale 12.6% 12.5% 11.5% 11.3% 10.3% 12.6% 11.2% 9.3% 7.9% 0.8%
Ben Rosenberg 8.3% 8.6% 10.1% 10.0% 10.5% 10.0% 12.6% 12.9% 15.2% 1.8%
Brooke Schmelz 9.4% 8.6% 9.1% 8.9% 10.0% 12.5% 13.8% 12.8% 13.6% 1.3%
Trevor Davis 15.0% 15.5% 12.2% 13.3% 12.2% 11.5% 8.3% 6.8% 5.0% 0.2%
Tyler Mowry 14.1% 13.4% 14.3% 11.9% 14.1% 9.9% 9.3% 7.1% 5.3% 0.6%
Thomas Styron 13.3% 9.8% 11.1% 10.8% 13.4% 9.9% 11.5% 10.0% 9.3% 0.9%
John (Jack) Plavan 12.4% 14.1% 12.9% 14.0% 11.9% 11.3% 9.0% 8.6% 5.2% 0.6%
Patrick Mulcahy 6.1% 7.3% 8.4% 7.9% 6.4% 11.6% 11.7% 15.8% 20.3% 4.5%
Avery Zieper 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 1.8% 5.3% 87.5%
Will Priebe 8.5% 9.5% 9.8% 11.5% 10.3% 9.3% 11.5% 14.9% 12.9% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.