← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.57+2.76vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.62+1.73vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.31+1.36vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.38+0.23vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.07-0.17vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-0.95vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.76-1.52vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.12-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.76Boston University2.570.2%1st Place
-
3.73Tufts University2.620.2%1st Place
-
4.36Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
-
4.23Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
4.83University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
-
5.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
5.48Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
-
4.58Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 17.8% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 18.4% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 4.3% |
| Thomas Styron | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 8.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 13.3% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 13.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 20.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 27.6% |
| Will Priebe | 11.9% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.