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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.57+2.76vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.31+2.35vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.62+0.73vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.12+0.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.09vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38-1.85vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.07-2.14vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.76-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Boston University2.570.2%1st Place
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4.35Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University2.620.2%1st Place
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4.74Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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4.15Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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5.31Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 17.0% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Thomas Styron | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 18.4% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Will Priebe | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 14.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 17.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 14.2% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 16.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.