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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+3.14vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+1.83vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.07vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.76+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.07-0.16vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.12-1.32vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.62-3.20vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.31-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.83Boston University2.570.2%1st Place
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5.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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5.42Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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4.68Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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3.8Tufts University2.620.2%1st Place
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4.21Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu Dale | 13.6% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 7.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 16.7% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 9.4% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 18.9% | 17.6% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 26.3% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 14.9% |
| Will Priebe | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 14.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 18.1% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 14.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.