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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.76+4.36vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.12+2.74vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+0.81vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.09vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.62-1.27vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38-1.81vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.31-2.62vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.07-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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4.74Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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3.81Boston University2.570.2%1st Place
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5.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University2.620.2%1st Place
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4.19Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.38Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mulcahy | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 23.1% |
| Will Priebe | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 13.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 18.0% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 20.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 16.7% | 19.2% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 14.0% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% |
| Thomas Styron | 14.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 9.7% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.