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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+3.13vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.10vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+0.83vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.07+0.84vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.12-0.27vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.31-1.69vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.76-1.55vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.62-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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3.83Boston University2.570.2%1st Place
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4.84University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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4.73Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.31Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.45Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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3.63Tufts University2.620.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu Dale | 13.6% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 6.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 18.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 18.0% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 4.5% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 10.7% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 15.2% |
| Will Priebe | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 12.8% |
| Thomas Styron | 12.7% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 27.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 19.1% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.