Race 11B

central-series-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tevis Nichols 8.8% 10.0% 13.0% 12.3% 15.2% 17.3% 14.4% 8.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 31.9% 24.6% 17.0% 13.5% 8.3% 3.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Needham 24.2% 23.0% 20.5% 17.4% 8.4% 4.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Mende 1.9% 3.0% 3.5% 4.7% 8.2% 12.5% 17.4% 41.2% 6.9% 0.7%
Cameron Fraser 15.0% 19.0% 18.5% 18.1% 13.8% 9.1% 5.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Gestal 8.7% 7.7% 9.8% 11.4% 15.8% 19.4% 16.5% 9.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Laura Cuccio 4.7% 6.8% 10.0% 12.4% 16.6% 17.5% 18.5% 12.3% 1.2% 0.0%
Victor Ansart 4.4% 5.6% 7.3% 9.4% 13.1% 14.2% 23.2% 19.4% 3.3% 0.1%
Cassie Morello 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 2.1% 4.2% 56.9% 33.9%
Angela Lukstein 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 3.1% 29.7% 65.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.