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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+4.58vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.34+5.90vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.61+1.30vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.39+0.72vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18+3.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78+0.77vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.55-2.62vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.79+3.72vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.35-1.00vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.33-2.14vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.03-1.84vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.70-3.37vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island-0.20-3.18vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.93-2.42vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.58-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0711.2%1st Place
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7.9University of Rhode Island0.345.5%1st Place
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4.3Roger Williams University1.6116.8%1st Place
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4.72Roger Williams University1.3914.6%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.183.9%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.787.0%1st Place
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4.38Roger Williams University1.5516.0%1st Place
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11.72Salve Regina University-0.791.4%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University0.354.2%1st Place
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7.86Brown University0.335.6%1st Place
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9.16Brown University0.034.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Rhode Island0.703.9%1st Place
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9.82University of Rhode Island-0.202.9%1st Place
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11.58Salve Regina University-0.931.5%1st Place
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10.95Salve Regina University-0.581.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Vinogradov | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Pierson Falk | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 16.8% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 14.6% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meara Conley | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Joey Richardson | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Connor McHugh | 16.0% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 17.7% | 27.0% |
| Jancy Grayson | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Keller Morrison | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| John Mason | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 26.7% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.