Race 4B

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chase Reynolds 8.9% 8.9% 9.6% 9.6% 8.7% 12.2% 12.5% 14.6% 12.0% 3.0%
Carter Brock 4.9% 4.9% 5.7% 6.1% 7.9% 8.3% 9.6% 15.0% 28.3% 9.3%
Julia Wyatt 7.7% 8.0% 9.0% 7.9% 9.8% 12.6% 15.8% 11.6% 14.9% 2.7%
Micky Munns 11.1% 10.7% 12.4% 12.4% 11.7% 12.0% 11.6% 11.0% 6.2% 0.9%
Joshua Bartoszuk 15.2% 14.4% 13.8% 12.3% 13.7% 10.3% 8.7% 7.1% 3.6% 0.9%
Leyton Borcherding 16.0% 12.0% 13.3% 13.2% 12.3% 10.9% 10.1% 6.4% 5.1% 0.7%
Michael Kirkman 16.6% 18.3% 15.2% 13.6% 11.2% 9.9% 7.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.3%
Bryan Trammell 11.3% 12.5% 11.0% 12.7% 11.9% 13.0% 9.2% 9.9% 6.3% 2.2%
Owen Lubben 0.3% 1.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 2.0% 1.8% 4.2% 9.7% 76.9%
Jack Flores 8.0% 8.9% 9.1% 10.8% 11.4% 8.8% 13.3% 14.9% 11.7% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.