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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78+5.48vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.55+2.46vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.39+1.82vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.79+7.70vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.34+2.98vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.70+2.60vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.35+0.95vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.61-3.85vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07-3.22vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.58+0.96vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.33-2.75vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island-0.20-2.27vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-4.51vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.93-2.37vs Predicted
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15Brown University0.03-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.788.3%1st Place
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4.46Roger Williams University1.5515.0%1st Place
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4.82Roger Williams University1.3913.6%1st Place
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11.7Salve Regina University-0.791.6%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island0.344.5%1st Place
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8.6University of Rhode Island0.703.9%1st Place
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7.95Roger Williams University0.355.1%1st Place
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4.15Roger Williams University1.6118.1%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.079.7%1st Place
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10.96Salve Regina University-0.581.9%1st Place
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8.25Brown University0.334.7%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island-0.203.1%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.184.2%1st Place
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11.63Salve Regina University-0.931.9%1st Place
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9.03Brown University0.034.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Richardson | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Connor McHugh | 15.0% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 26.9% |
| Pierson Falk | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| John Mason | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Jancy Grayson | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Tristan McDonald | 18.1% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Vinogradov | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 17.8% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% |
| Meara Conley | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 27.2% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.