Race 1C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chip Kreuzkamp 17.7% 17.0% 12.8% 13.4% 9.2% 10.6% 7.4% 6.5% 4.6% 0.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.7% 5.1% 6.9% 8.7% 8.5% 10.5% 11.5% 13.7% 21.0% 6.4%
Julius Heitkoetter 10.6% 11.8% 8.4% 9.8% 12.6% 12.7% 12.1% 9.6% 10.2% 2.2%
Jonathan Riley 10.8% 11.1% 13.7% 12.7% 10.8% 12.1% 9.6% 10.0% 7.8% 1.4%
Connor Macken 10.9% 10.6% 9.8% 10.4% 10.8% 11.1% 12.4% 11.9% 10.4% 1.7%
Shea Smith 13.4% 11.4% 12.7% 13.0% 12.5% 10.4% 8.1% 10.8% 6.8% 0.9%
Santiago Hirschmann 8.1% 9.5% 11.4% 10.8% 12.5% 11.7% 12.4% 11.9% 8.8% 2.9%
Luke Hosek 6.9% 8.7% 9.5% 8.8% 8.8% 8.7% 13.8% 13.7% 17.6% 3.5%
Connor Rosow 13.1% 14.1% 14.0% 11.3% 12.0% 10.7% 9.8% 8.4% 5.2% 1.4%
Anna Kovacs 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 2.3% 1.5% 2.9% 3.5% 7.6% 78.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.