Race 2C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jonathan Riley 11.9% 12.4% 12.7% 10.7% 10.9% 11.2% 10.6% 9.8% 8.1% 1.7%
Connor Macken 10.5% 9.4% 12.2% 10.3% 10.1% 11.5% 10.0% 12.9% 11.1% 2.0%
Connor Rosow 13.9% 12.2% 11.7% 12.3% 12.4% 13.1% 9.1% 7.7% 6.9% 0.7%
Julius Heitkoetter 9.9% 11.1% 11.8% 11.0% 12.0% 12.0% 10.8% 10.0% 9.6% 1.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.5% 7.0% 7.9% 7.1% 8.2% 10.7% 10.8% 14.8% 19.7% 6.3%
Shea Smith 14.1% 11.3% 11.5% 12.7% 12.6% 9.3% 11.7% 8.8% 7.0% 1.0%
Luke Hosek 6.1% 8.4% 7.8% 10.5% 9.1% 12.0% 11.6% 15.2% 14.6% 4.7%
Chip Kreuzkamp 16.2% 16.9% 13.5% 14.1% 10.5% 9.9% 9.0% 5.9% 3.3% 0.7%
Santiago Hirschmann 9.2% 10.4% 10.2% 10.4% 11.8% 8.6% 13.7% 11.2% 11.9% 2.6%
Anna Kovacs 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 2.4% 1.7% 2.7% 3.7% 7.8% 78.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.