Race 3C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Julius Heitkoetter 11.2% 10.4% 11.5% 11.4% 11.0% 10.5% 11.1% 11.2% 10.0% 1.7%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.3% 5.5% 7.9% 7.7% 9.4% 9.3% 11.0% 14.4% 21.2% 6.3%
Luke Hosek 7.3% 8.7% 6.9% 7.8% 8.2% 11.1% 12.8% 15.1% 17.0% 5.1%
Jonathan Riley 11.7% 11.0% 12.8% 12.3% 11.7% 12.0% 10.0% 9.3% 7.8% 1.4%
Chip Kreuzkamp 17.2% 15.3% 13.2% 14.1% 14.0% 7.4% 7.8% 6.1% 4.5% 0.4%
Shea Smith 13.8% 11.8% 11.2% 13.5% 10.9% 11.6% 9.2% 10.0% 7.0% 1.0%
Connor Macken 8.2% 11.5% 11.0% 12.0% 11.4% 11.3% 12.3% 11.9% 8.3% 2.1%
Santiago Hirschmann 8.6% 12.0% 10.4% 9.4% 10.0% 12.3% 12.7% 11.5% 11.4% 1.7%
Connor Rosow 13.9% 13.2% 14.6% 10.3% 11.3% 12.3% 10.4% 7.5% 5.3% 1.2%
Anna Kovacs 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 1.5% 2.1% 2.2% 2.7% 3.0% 7.5% 79.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.