Race 4C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Macken 10.6% 10.5% 11.5% 10.3% 11.5% 9.5% 11.2% 11.6% 10.8% 2.5%
Julius Heitkoetter 10.5% 10.2% 11.6% 10.7% 11.2% 11.9% 9.9% 12.6% 9.8% 1.6%
Connor Rosow 13.9% 12.4% 12.1% 11.5% 14.1% 10.7% 10.2% 7.6% 6.5% 1.0%
Chip Kreuzkamp 15.9% 15.8% 14.6% 13.2% 12.2% 9.9% 7.9% 6.3% 3.7% 0.5%
Luke Hosek 8.0% 8.8% 8.0% 7.7% 9.7% 11.0% 11.6% 14.5% 15.8% 4.9%
Jonathan Riley 13.0% 10.7% 11.7% 12.8% 10.9% 11.7% 10.7% 9.1% 8.2% 1.2%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.0% 7.2% 7.6% 8.6% 8.3% 11.8% 12.4% 15.3% 17.9% 5.9%
Santiago Hirschmann 9.3% 11.7% 9.8% 11.4% 8.8% 10.3% 13.3% 11.4% 11.8% 2.2%
Shea Smith 12.9% 12.2% 12.3% 12.8% 11.5% 10.4% 10.5% 8.9% 7.0% 1.5%
Anna Kovacs 0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.8% 2.8% 2.3% 2.7% 8.5% 78.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.