Race 5C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Macken 10.8% 10.8% 11.0% 10.2% 10.1% 10.8% 12.2% 12.5% 9.7% 1.9%
Jonathan Riley 12.5% 10.2% 12.0% 12.4% 10.9% 11.1% 10.7% 10.9% 7.9% 1.4%
Chip Kreuzkamp 15.9% 13.9% 13.8% 12.6% 13.5% 10.8% 7.4% 7.2% 4.1% 0.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.8% 6.0% 8.3% 8.9% 8.6% 10.4% 12.3% 15.4% 19.1% 5.2%
Shea Smith 12.4% 13.1% 12.4% 12.7% 11.8% 11.4% 8.6% 9.2% 7.3% 1.1%
Luke Hosek 8.8% 8.6% 7.5% 7.7% 9.2% 11.9% 11.6% 11.9% 18.1% 4.7%
Julius Heitkoetter 8.7% 12.8% 11.1% 11.4% 10.1% 11.9% 12.9% 10.1% 8.6% 2.4%
Connor Rosow 14.5% 14.3% 12.3% 12.3% 13.2% 9.4% 8.8% 8.1% 6.3% 0.8%
Santiago Hirschmann 9.8% 9.7% 10.6% 10.8% 10.4% 10.3% 12.9% 11.1% 12.2% 2.2%
Anna Kovacs 0.8% 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 2.2% 2.0% 2.6% 3.6% 6.7% 79.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.