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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.69+4.12vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.38+3.91vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+2.17vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.25+2.17vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.90-0.33vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.16-1.95vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.63-1.69vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83-3.23vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.98-4.51vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.80-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.91Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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5.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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6.17Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.67Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.05Boston College2.160.2%1st Place
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5.31Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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4.49Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.35Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Macken | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 2.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 4.7% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 1.7% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 5.5% |
| Shea Smith | 12.3% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Chip Kreuzkamp | 18.0% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 2.8% |
| Jonathan Riley | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 1.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 13.6% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 79.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.