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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Macken 10.9% 11.3% 10.9% 10.2% 11.0% 9.4% 11.4% 12.8% 10.1% 2.0%
Luke Hosek 8.4% 6.3% 8.1% 10.3% 9.1% 9.9% 11.5% 13.2% 18.5% 4.7%
Julius Heitkoetter 10.8% 10.9% 9.3% 9.8% 10.5% 13.7% 12.2% 9.7% 11.4% 1.7%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.3% 7.1% 7.8% 8.3% 9.2% 9.5% 14.2% 14.2% 18.9% 5.5%
Shea Smith 12.3% 14.0% 10.6% 12.8% 11.5% 11.9% 9.5% 9.3% 7.2% 0.9%
Chip Kreuzkamp 18.0% 13.7% 14.9% 13.8% 11.2% 10.2% 8.2% 5.7% 3.8% 0.5%
Santiago Hirschmann 8.3% 9.9% 10.7% 11.3% 11.6% 11.0% 11.7% 12.6% 10.1% 2.8%
Jonathan Riley 11.6% 12.3% 12.9% 10.9% 12.3% 11.8% 9.9% 9.1% 8.2% 1.0%
Connor Rosow 13.6% 13.9% 14.0% 11.0% 11.9% 11.0% 8.6% 9.7% 5.0% 1.3%
Anna Kovacs 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 1.6% 1.7% 1.6% 2.8% 3.7% 6.8% 79.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.