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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chip Kreuzkamp 18.3% 15.7% 13.9% 12.8% 9.5% 10.5% 7.2% 7.2% 4.1% 0.8%
Luke Hosek 8.4% 5.7% 9.7% 9.1% 8.6% 10.0% 12.7% 12.8% 18.4% 4.6%
Shea Smith 12.1% 12.4% 11.3% 9.7% 13.9% 12.6% 10.1% 8.9% 7.6% 1.4%
Julius Heitkoetter 9.9% 9.8% 13.7% 10.7% 11.2% 11.9% 10.9% 10.4% 9.7% 1.8%
Jonathan Riley 11.6% 13.0% 10.0% 11.7% 12.4% 10.5% 12.5% 9.2% 7.9% 1.2%
Connor Rosow 14.8% 12.4% 13.5% 13.5% 11.7% 9.1% 9.4% 9.8% 5.2% 0.6%
Connor Macken 8.4% 11.7% 10.2% 12.8% 10.8% 10.6% 13.6% 10.3% 9.6% 2.0%
Santiago Hirschmann 9.3% 11.2% 10.6% 9.9% 10.3% 12.3% 10.9% 12.0% 11.5% 2.0%
Elliott Mendenhall 6.5% 7.3% 6.3% 8.6% 9.8% 10.1% 10.3% 15.7% 20.0% 5.4%
Anna Kovacs 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 3.7% 6.0% 80.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.