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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.16+3.06vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.38+3.91vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.90+1.79vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83-0.16vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98-1.56vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69-1.85vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.63-2.76vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.25-2.84vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.80-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Boston College2.160.2%1st Place
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5.91Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.79Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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4.44Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.15Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.24Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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6.16Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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9.35Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chip Kreuzkamp | 18.3% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Luke Hosek | 8.4% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 4.6% |
| Shea Smith | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 1.4% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.9% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
| Jonathan Riley | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 1.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 14.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Connor Macken | 8.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 2.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 2.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 20.0% | 5.4% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 80.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.