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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+5.16vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+4.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18+6.33vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.55+0.87vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.39+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.34+2.52vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.61-2.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-0.78vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.97-0.38vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.33-1.51vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.93+1.21vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island-0.20-1.36vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.35-4.35vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.70-4.59vs Predicted
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15Brown University0.03-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.079.6%1st Place
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6.35Salve Regina University0.468.1%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.183.6%1st Place
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4.87Roger Williams University1.5515.1%1st Place
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5.16Roger Williams University1.3912.4%1st Place
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8.52University of Rhode Island0.344.0%1st Place
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4.66Roger Williams University1.6115.4%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.786.9%1st Place
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8.62Salve Regina University0.974.0%1st Place
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8.49Brown University0.334.4%1st Place
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12.21Salve Regina University-0.931.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Rhode Island-0.202.9%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University0.355.8%1st Place
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9.41University of Rhode Island0.703.4%1st Place
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9.71Brown University0.033.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
David Vinogradov | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
Emil Tullberg | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Meara Conley | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% |
Connor McHugh | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Edward Herman | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Pierson Falk | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
Tristan McDonald | 15.4% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Joey Richardson | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
Olivia Lowthian | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
Keller Morrison | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
Tyler Winowiecki | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 37.9% |
Emaline Ouellette | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 16.7% |
Jancy Grayson | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
John Mason | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
Jean-Luc Depardieu | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.