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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.16+3.06vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.90+2.72vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+2.18vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.25+2.18vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98-0.53vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.69-0.85vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.38-1.14vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83-3.25vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.63-3.71vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.80-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Boston College2.160.2%1st Place
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4.72Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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6.18Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.47Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.15Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.86Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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5.29Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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9.34Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chip Kreuzkamp | 18.1% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Shea Smith | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 1.2% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 1.9% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 6.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 13.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| Connor Macken | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 1.5% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 4.7% |
| Jonathan Riley | 12.1% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 1.1% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 2.6% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 79.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.