← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Julius Heitkoetter 10.4% 11.7% 12.0% 10.1% 11.2% 10.8% 10.7% 11.1% 9.9% 2.1%
Santiago Hirschmann 10.4% 7.7% 10.7% 10.4% 10.8% 11.0% 10.6% 13.9% 12.2% 2.3%
Chip Kreuzkamp 15.8% 14.2% 15.2% 12.6% 12.1% 11.4% 6.7% 7.2% 4.2% 0.6%
Jonathan Riley 11.4% 12.0% 11.5% 13.4% 11.5% 10.7% 11.7% 8.4% 7.8% 1.6%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.2% 7.1% 8.8% 5.5% 9.1% 10.0% 12.0% 14.6% 19.2% 6.5%
Connor Macken 12.2% 9.1% 9.9% 11.6% 11.0% 10.9% 11.4% 10.5% 11.3% 2.1%
Luke Hosek 5.5% 8.5% 7.7% 9.7% 11.3% 10.7% 12.9% 13.8% 15.1% 4.8%
Shea Smith 12.2% 14.6% 11.1% 13.1% 10.6% 11.8% 10.6% 8.4% 6.7% 0.9%
Connor Rosow 14.0% 14.3% 12.5% 12.5% 10.5% 10.8% 10.7% 8.4% 5.1% 1.2%
Anna Kovacs 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 1.9% 1.9% 2.7% 3.7% 8.5% 77.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.