Race 10C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jonathan Riley 13.2% 11.7% 12.5% 10.2% 10.9% 11.3% 10.7% 9.7% 7.8% 2.0%
Chip Kreuzkamp 16.2% 16.0% 12.8% 12.0% 13.5% 9.8% 8.8% 6.4% 3.9% 0.6%
Elliott Mendenhall 6.3% 6.3% 8.1% 7.0% 8.7% 8.7% 12.7% 15.8% 21.5% 4.9%
Shea Smith 12.0% 12.4% 13.7% 12.5% 10.0% 12.6% 10.5% 8.6% 6.9% 0.8%
Julius Heitkoetter 11.3% 10.6% 10.0% 11.5% 12.4% 11.3% 11.9% 9.8% 8.6% 2.6%
Connor Macken 12.5% 9.4% 10.4% 10.9% 11.8% 9.4% 11.5% 10.8% 11.3% 2.0%
Santiago Hirschmann 7.9% 9.7% 10.1% 12.6% 11.5% 11.7% 10.8% 13.3% 10.4% 2.0%
Luke Hosek 7.1% 8.9% 8.1% 9.5% 8.1% 12.7% 10.5% 14.6% 15.4% 5.1%
Anna Kovacs 0.7% 1.2% 0.7% 1.5% 1.8% 1.7% 2.2% 3.1% 8.2% 78.9%
Connor Rosow 12.8% 13.8% 13.6% 12.3% 11.3% 10.8% 10.4% 7.9% 6.0% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.