Race 11C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Elliott Mendenhall 6.3% 7.3% 9.1% 9.4% 11.3% 13.0% 19.4% 24.2%
Julius Heitkoetter 10.3% 11.3% 12.4% 10.9% 13.9% 17.0% 13.5% 10.7%
Mason Stang 27.9% 22.0% 16.3% 14.1% 9.2% 5.9% 2.8% 1.8%
Connor Rosow 13.5% 14.9% 13.1% 13.8% 14.0% 12.8% 10.0% 7.9%
Jonathan Riley 10.2% 14.8% 12.4% 13.5% 13.6% 13.2% 12.5% 9.8%
Shea Smith 13.2% 13.3% 13.9% 15.1% 13.6% 10.8% 11.7% 8.4%
Luke Hosek 8.2% 7.3% 8.9% 10.6% 11.0% 13.6% 16.7% 23.7%
Santiago Hirschmann 10.4% 9.1% 13.9% 12.6% 13.4% 13.7% 13.4% 13.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.