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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.55vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+0.97vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.38+2.29vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.83+0.45vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.25+0.57vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.63-1.21vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98-2.80vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.90-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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2.97Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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5.29Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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5.57Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.79Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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4.2Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.18Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 10.3% |
| Mason Stang | 26.1% | 22.1% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 21.4% |
| Jonathan Riley | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 25.9% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 15.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 14.6% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% |
| Shea Smith | 13.9% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.