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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Julius Heitkoetter 11.1% 12.3% 10.3% 14.1% 15.1% 12.9% 13.3% 10.9%
Shea Smith 12.8% 12.2% 13.9% 14.4% 14.3% 14.0% 10.9% 7.5%
Luke Hosek 8.3% 7.3% 9.7% 10.4% 11.3% 13.4% 17.6% 22.0%
Santiago Hirschmann 9.1% 10.9% 12.3% 10.3% 13.5% 13.9% 15.1% 14.9%
Jonathan Riley 10.2% 13.0% 14.4% 12.6% 13.0% 13.5% 13.8% 9.5%
Mason Stang 26.6% 23.2% 16.6% 14.0% 8.0% 6.2% 4.7% 0.7%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.0% 7.1% 7.2% 10.5% 9.9% 13.7% 17.0% 27.6%
Connor Rosow 14.9% 14.0% 15.6% 13.7% 14.9% 12.4% 7.6% 6.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.