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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.90+2.28vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.38+2.30vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.63+0.85vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83-0.52vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.63-3.05vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.25-1.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.98-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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4.28Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.3Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.85Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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2.95Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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5.56Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.02Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 10.9% |
| Shea Smith | 12.8% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 7.5% |
| Luke Hosek | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 22.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 14.9% |
| Jonathan Riley | 10.2% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 9.5% |
| Mason Stang | 26.6% | 23.2% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 27.6% |
| Connor Rosow | 14.9% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.