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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Elliott Mendenhall 6.1% 8.0% 8.1% 10.5% 11.4% 12.4% 18.6% 24.9%
Mason Stang 26.8% 21.2% 18.0% 13.4% 10.2% 5.3% 4.3% 0.8%
Jonathan Riley 12.7% 11.2% 14.5% 11.6% 13.0% 14.7% 13.0% 9.3%
Julius Heitkoetter 10.4% 12.0% 11.1% 12.8% 13.8% 14.0% 12.7% 13.2%
Connor Rosow 13.0% 15.4% 14.6% 13.6% 12.5% 14.1% 9.8% 7.0%
Shea Smith 12.8% 14.2% 12.9% 14.3% 14.6% 11.0% 11.1% 9.1%
Santiago Hirschmann 10.2% 9.6% 11.3% 12.6% 11.3% 13.3% 16.3% 15.4%
Luke Hosek 8.0% 8.4% 9.5% 11.2% 13.2% 15.2% 14.2% 20.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.