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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.25+4.49vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.83+1.44vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+0.66vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98-0.86vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.90-1.73vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.63-2.13vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.38-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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2.96Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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4.44University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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4.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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4.14Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.27Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.87Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.17Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 24.9% |
| Mason Stang | 26.8% | 21.2% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Riley | 12.7% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 9.3% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 13.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 13.0% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% |
| Shea Smith | 12.8% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 15.4% |
| Luke Hosek | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.