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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.56vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+0.97vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.38+2.26vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.63+0.84vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.25+0.56vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98-1.87vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.90-2.62vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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2.97Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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5.26Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.84Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.56Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.13Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.38Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.2% |
| Mason Stang | 25.9% | 22.3% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 21.1% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 15.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 26.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 12.8% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% |
| Shea Smith | 13.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 8.9% |
| Jonathan Riley | 13.1% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.