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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.54vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+0.98vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.63+1.84vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.90+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83-0.55vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98-1.90vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.25-1.42vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.38-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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2.98Brown University2.630.3%1st Place
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4.84Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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4.33Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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4.1Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.58Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.18Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 10.8% |
| Mason Stang | 27.1% | 21.3% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 10.0% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 14.1% |
| Shea Smith | 12.1% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 9.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 11.0% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 14.0% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 28.3% |
| Luke Hosek | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.