Race 1A

thompson-throphy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Matthew Kickhafer 3.5% 4.1% 4.1% 3.5% 4.1% 5.4% 5.5% 6.5% 5.4% 6.9% 7.2% 8.2% 9.9% 12.8% 12.9%
Aidan naughton 5.5% 7.1% 6.8% 7.5% 7.3% 8.0% 6.4% 7.8% 7.8% 7.3% 7.4% 7.0% 7.0% 4.7% 2.4%
Samuel Merson 4.6% 5.4% 6.6% 5.5% 6.0% 6.9% 5.8% 7.3% 8.1% 6.9% 8.4% 9.9% 6.6% 7.9% 4.1%
Sam Bruce 5.5% 5.4% 5.5% 7.1% 6.7% 6.1% 7.9% 6.1% 8.4% 7.7% 6.9% 8.3% 7.4% 7.0% 4.0%
Connor Nelson 11.5% 11.0% 9.3% 9.9% 8.0% 9.6% 8.9% 7.9% 7.1% 5.3% 4.2% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3%
Shawn Harvey 18.9% 16.1% 13.6% 12.1% 10.8% 8.6% 5.9% 6.1% 2.6% 2.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Grant Gridley 5.9% 3.8% 5.4% 4.1% 5.2% 5.6% 6.1% 8.1% 8.2% 8.5% 7.2% 9.5% 8.4% 7.8% 6.2%
Eli Burnes 8.6% 9.0% 8.6% 7.9% 8.3% 7.8% 7.6% 7.2% 8.8% 7.3% 6.9% 4.9% 3.2% 2.8% 1.1%
Jack DeNatale 6.7% 7.3% 7.6% 9.2% 8.2% 8.9% 8.3% 6.8% 7.4% 8.5% 6.9% 7.0% 4.1% 1.9% 1.2%
CJ Mckenna 3.9% 3.5% 4.8% 5.1% 5.9% 5.6% 6.8% 6.4% 6.9% 8.2% 7.0% 7.8% 10.7% 10.1% 7.3%
Robert Bragg 11.6% 12.5% 11.6% 10.8% 8.7% 6.4% 8.2% 7.9% 4.8% 4.8% 5.1% 3.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.6%
Christian Spencer 4.4% 4.3% 4.2% 6.0% 7.4% 6.8% 6.6% 6.3% 8.6% 7.3% 8.9% 8.1% 8.7% 7.9% 4.5%
Zachariah Schemel 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 2.0% 3.0% 3.1% 3.4% 3.0% 4.0% 5.6% 6.4% 9.9% 14.3% 38.4%
Atlee Kohl 4.8% 4.9% 6.2% 6.6% 6.5% 6.5% 7.2% 6.9% 8.0% 7.0% 9.7% 6.8% 6.4% 8.1% 4.4%
Clayton Snyder 3.4% 4.1% 3.7% 2.5% 4.9% 4.8% 5.7% 5.3% 4.9% 7.9% 6.7% 8.8% 12.2% 12.5% 12.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.