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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.61+3.52vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.55+2.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+3.21vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.34+4.60vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78+2.20vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.03+3.90vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.46-0.41vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.33+0.64vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.97-0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.70-0.86vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.39-5.77vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.93+0.27vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-3.60vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.35-5.31vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-0.20-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Roger Williams University1.6116.1%1st Place
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4.78Roger Williams University1.5514.8%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.079.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Rhode Island0.343.8%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.787.0%1st Place
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9.9Brown University0.033.2%1st Place
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6.59Salve Regina University0.467.7%1st Place
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8.64Brown University0.334.5%1st Place
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8.52Salve Regina University0.974.2%1st Place
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9.14University of Rhode Island0.704.0%1st Place
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5.23Roger Williams University1.3912.6%1st Place
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12.27Salve Regina University-0.931.2%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.184.2%1st Place
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8.69Roger Williams University0.354.7%1st Place
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10.33University of Rhode Island-0.202.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan McDonald | 16.1% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 14.8% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Vinogradov | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Pierson Falk | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Joey Richardson | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 9.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| John Mason | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Edward Herman | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 40.5% |
| Meara Conley | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.1% |
| Jancy Grayson | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.