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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+7.16vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+7.73vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+5.37vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.51+7.83vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.01+2.12vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.42-0.31vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.47-1.48vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.93-3.80vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.12-2.44vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.49-1.03vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.66-2.65vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.16-1.69vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.80-4.96vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-5.87vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.83University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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7.12Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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5.69Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.52Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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4.2Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.56Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.97Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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10.31Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.99Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 35.3% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 13.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 19.0% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 13.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.