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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+4.58vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+6.09vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+1.08vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.45+4.90vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.25vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+2.47vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.80+0.74vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.12-1.29vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.16+0.95vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.49-1.04vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.01-3.95vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.65-3.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.78vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.51-2.08vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.47-9.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.09University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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4.08Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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8.9Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.74University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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6.71Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.95Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.96Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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7.05Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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11.92University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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5.45Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 12.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 20.2% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.2% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 14.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 36.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.6% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.