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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+4.49vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+6.24vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.16+6.93vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.65+3.38vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.42-0.40vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.49+1.77vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.45+1.04vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.12-2.40vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+0.03vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.51+0.99vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-3.58vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.01-5.72vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.66-5.73vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.80-7.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.24Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.93Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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4.21Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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8.38University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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5.6Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.77Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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9.04Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.6Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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11.99University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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7.28Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 11.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 18.4% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.6% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 38.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 3.7% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.