← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.47+4.43vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College2.45+6.83vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.61+5.33vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.42+1.67vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.01+2.16vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.93-1.87vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin2.65+1.26vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.20vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+0.94vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University2.16+0.06vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.49-2.11vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami2.66-3.45vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.80-4.96vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida1.51-2.08vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University3.12-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.43Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
8.83Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
-
8.33Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
5.67Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.16Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
-
4.13Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
-
8.26University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
-
8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
-
10.06Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
-
8.89Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
-
8.55University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
-
8.04University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
-
11.92University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
-
6.61Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 18.2% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 13.8% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 36.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.