Race 9A

thompson-throphy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Robert Bragg 12.9% 14.5% 11.0% 11.4% 9.8% 9.5% 7.9% 6.3% 5.2% 3.4% 4.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Sam Bruce 5.1% 7.1% 6.7% 7.6% 8.7% 7.6% 8.3% 6.5% 8.2% 8.3% 7.2% 7.9% 5.2% 4.7% 0.9%
Christian Spencer 6.1% 5.3% 6.8% 6.9% 6.8% 7.5% 7.8% 7.2% 8.5% 9.0% 8.6% 8.0% 6.4% 4.3% 0.8%
Connor Nelson 12.9% 11.6% 12.8% 9.0% 10.4% 9.5% 7.2% 7.2% 7.1% 5.6% 2.7% 1.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Jack DeNatale 8.5% 8.3% 8.2% 7.8% 8.1% 8.2% 7.9% 9.4% 8.7% 6.8% 6.2% 4.2% 4.6% 2.7% 0.4%
Atlee Kohl 4.9% 7.0% 5.5% 6.5% 6.2% 8.3% 8.0% 7.3% 9.8% 8.3% 7.4% 9.3% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4%
CJ Mckenna 5.9% 3.9% 5.4% 5.3% 5.2% 7.1% 7.3% 8.0% 8.4% 9.0% 8.2% 9.5% 8.1% 6.1% 2.6%
Zachariah Schemel 2.2% 2.1% 1.8% 2.0% 2.4% 2.5% 3.4% 4.4% 5.0% 5.8% 6.0% 9.3% 12.1% 24.6% 16.4%
Samuel Merson 4.7% 4.9% 5.9% 6.1% 8.4% 7.8% 8.2% 8.5% 7.0% 8.5% 8.9% 8.7% 6.8% 4.6% 1.0%
Shawn Harvey 19.4% 17.8% 14.4% 12.8% 11.3% 6.8% 5.7% 4.8% 2.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Kickhafer 3.1% 3.0% 4.8% 5.0% 4.6% 4.6% 6.6% 7.4% 7.0% 7.6% 8.7% 8.0% 12.0% 12.1% 5.5%
Aidan naughton 5.6% 6.4% 6.3% 8.0% 8.0% 8.2% 7.3% 8.7% 7.2% 8.2% 8.4% 6.8% 6.6% 3.6% 0.7%
Grant Gridley 4.1% 4.6% 5.5% 6.6% 5.5% 5.9% 6.0% 7.3% 6.1% 8.5% 11.4% 9.6% 10.1% 6.2% 2.6%
Matthew Cabot 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 2.6% 4.2% 5.3% 14.3% 64.0%
Clayton Snyder 4.2% 2.8% 4.2% 4.6% 4.2% 5.1% 7.1% 5.7% 7.4% 7.5% 8.2% 10.2% 13.4% 11.8% 3.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.