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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+6.53vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.84+7.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.33+4.97vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.63+2.69vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.25+3.39vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.73+4.13vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-0.35vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.40-0.19vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18-0.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-2.79vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.34+0.75vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.76vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-3.00vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.92-8.19vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.48-3.95vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-0.74+2.17vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.06-8.10vs Predicted
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18Drexel University0.20-0.93vs Predicted
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19Syracuse University0.38-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.82George Washington University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Naval Academy3.330.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Pennsylvania3.630.1%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College3.250.1%1st Place
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10.13Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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6.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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7.81Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.27Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.1%1st Place
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11.75Columbia University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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10.0Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.0%1st Place
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5.81University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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11.05Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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18.17U. S. Military Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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8.9SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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17.07Drexel University0.200.0%1st Place
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16.54Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Meleney | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| D.J. Hatch | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Louis Padnos | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hines | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 12.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| James Peaco | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 8.5% | 19.6% | 64.6% |
| Tyler Steel | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Nederlof | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 24.0% | 37.5% | 20.7% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 27.8% | 34.6% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.