Race 13A

thompson-throphy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Robert Bragg 13.0% 12.7% 12.4% 10.6% 9.4% 8.0% 7.3% 7.9% 5.4% 4.3% 3.5% 2.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Connor Nelson 13.1% 12.6% 11.0% 10.3% 9.9% 9.0% 7.5% 6.3% 6.3% 4.6% 3.8% 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
Atlee Kohl 4.8% 4.9% 7.4% 6.6% 7.4% 6.2% 8.0% 6.7% 7.4% 8.2% 8.3% 8.5% 6.5% 5.8% 3.3%
Matthew Kickhafer 2.9% 3.4% 4.2% 4.2% 4.9% 5.7% 5.0% 7.1% 5.4% 7.5% 7.7% 7.9% 9.6% 12.6% 11.9%
Shawn Harvey 20.0% 16.0% 13.4% 13.3% 9.8% 8.5% 5.2% 4.6% 3.2% 2.5% 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Aidan naughton 5.2% 7.3% 6.2% 6.0% 7.5% 6.8% 9.0% 8.2% 8.9% 8.0% 7.6% 6.6% 6.5% 4.2% 2.0%
Cordelia Burn 4.9% 5.4% 4.5% 5.0% 4.7% 6.6% 6.6% 7.5% 6.9% 9.5% 6.9% 8.8% 8.5% 8.1% 6.1%
Clayton Snyder 3.5% 3.3% 3.6% 3.7% 5.0% 5.0% 5.5% 5.5% 6.2% 5.6% 9.0% 7.6% 11.0% 12.5% 13.0%
Sam Bruce 5.7% 4.6% 6.2% 6.1% 7.0% 8.8% 6.6% 7.9% 8.9% 7.4% 7.2% 8.0% 6.8% 4.9% 3.9%
Christian Spencer 5.2% 4.6% 5.5% 6.6% 6.1% 6.3% 9.3% 8.4% 6.2% 7.9% 7.9% 8.1% 6.9% 6.9% 4.1%
Samuel Merson 4.6% 5.9% 6.9% 6.0% 6.1% 6.9% 6.8% 7.8% 7.7% 5.3% 8.3% 7.1% 7.6% 8.2% 4.8%
CJ Mckenna 3.8% 4.0% 2.6% 5.7% 6.7% 6.0% 6.3% 6.2% 7.4% 7.6% 7.8% 9.4% 9.3% 8.9% 8.3%
Grant Gridley 3.9% 5.1% 5.4% 4.9% 4.6% 6.4% 6.1% 6.0% 6.7% 8.4% 8.8% 9.8% 8.7% 8.7% 6.5%
Zachariah Schemel 1.6% 1.6% 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 2.2% 3.4% 3.1% 5.0% 5.1% 5.8% 7.2% 10.0% 13.7% 34.2%
Jack DeNatale 7.8% 8.6% 8.9% 8.6% 8.0% 7.6% 7.4% 6.8% 8.4% 8.1% 5.8% 5.5% 4.2% 2.9% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.