Race 14A

thompson-throphy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Robert Bragg 13.4% 11.4% 13.2% 11.1% 9.2% 8.0% 7.7% 7.6% 4.8% 4.6% 3.6% 2.3% 1.5% 1.5% 0.1%
Connor Nelson 12.0% 14.1% 10.6% 10.3% 10.7% 7.6% 7.0% 8.2% 5.4% 4.3% 3.4% 3.0% 2.5% 0.3% 0.6%
Shawn Harvey 19.5% 16.8% 15.4% 11.6% 10.1% 8.5% 5.8% 5.1% 3.0% 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Kickhafer 2.8% 3.8% 3.9% 3.7% 4.9% 6.7% 5.0% 6.1% 6.7% 5.6% 7.8% 9.2% 9.3% 12.7% 11.8%
Aidan naughton 6.2% 7.4% 6.1% 6.3% 7.3% 7.5% 6.7% 6.9% 8.7% 9.5% 6.9% 6.0% 6.6% 4.8% 3.1%
CJ Mckenna 4.2% 3.8% 5.5% 4.5% 5.2% 5.7% 6.9% 7.3% 7.7% 8.0% 9.0% 9.0% 10.3% 7.9% 5.0%
Atlee Kohl 6.6% 4.7% 6.1% 5.1% 7.3% 7.3% 7.7% 7.5% 8.4% 6.8% 9.0% 6.8% 5.9% 6.7% 4.1%
Cordelia Burn 4.6% 4.8% 4.8% 5.9% 6.1% 5.1% 6.2% 6.5% 7.8% 7.7% 7.0% 9.1% 10.1% 7.8% 6.5%
Christian Spencer 5.0% 5.3% 4.9% 7.2% 7.1% 7.4% 8.2% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 6.2% 7.1% 6.5% 3.9%
Sam Bruce 5.2% 4.5% 5.7% 7.8% 6.4% 7.9% 7.0% 8.8% 6.6% 8.0% 7.3% 7.8% 7.1% 4.9% 5.0%
Zachariah Schemel 1.3% 2.0% 2.2% 1.8% 1.9% 4.0% 3.4% 3.4% 3.7% 4.8% 5.8% 7.1% 8.8% 14.3% 35.5%
Samuel Merson 4.3% 3.7% 5.9% 6.0% 7.2% 6.0% 7.1% 7.6% 8.1% 7.4% 7.3% 8.9% 8.4% 7.9% 4.2%
Grant Gridley 4.0% 5.2% 4.2% 4.9% 5.1% 6.9% 6.2% 5.9% 6.0% 9.7% 8.5% 8.7% 8.9% 8.7% 7.1%
Clayton Snyder 3.4% 2.9% 3.5% 4.5% 4.6% 5.1% 6.6% 4.3% 6.7% 5.9% 8.3% 10.2% 9.7% 12.5% 11.8%
Jack DeNatale 7.5% 9.6% 8.0% 9.3% 6.9% 6.3% 8.5% 7.0% 8.6% 8.1% 6.8% 5.1% 3.6% 3.4% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.