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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+5.86vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.83+4.52vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.37+8.55vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+0.72vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+2.56vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+2.39vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.48vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.81-1.25vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.82-2.40vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.63-2.56vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.33-2.51vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.09-2.38vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.27-4.08vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.95-4.22vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.36-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.52Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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11.55University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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4.72Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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6.75Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.6Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.44Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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9.78Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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8.31Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 35.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.8% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| John Ped | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Porter Kavle | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| John Walton | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
| William Bedford | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.