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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.83+5.62vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+6.19vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.27+5.64vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.09+5.29vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.81+1.85vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+0.96vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.36+1.30vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.55vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.43-4.42vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.63-2.54vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-1.19vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.33-3.26vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.21vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.82-7.36vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.37-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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6.85Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.96Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.3Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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4.58Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.46Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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8.74Roger Williams University2.330.0%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.64Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.59University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Jordan | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| John Ped | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.8% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Porter Kavle | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| William Bedford | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 14.4% |
| John Walton | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 6.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| William Michels | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.