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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.81+5.72vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+5.30vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+5.29vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.09+5.31vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.37+6.57vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.83+0.69vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.82-0.38vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.43-3.25vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.63-1.69vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.34vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.36-2.61vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.27-3.01vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.33-4.26vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-7.10vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.95-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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11.57University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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6.69Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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4.75Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.31Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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8.39Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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8.74Roger Williams University2.330.0%1st Place
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6.9Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 34.3% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| William Michels | 10.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.9% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| John Ped | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.1% |
| John Walton | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| William Bedford | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.